Bankroll Calculator

Updated

Work it either way. Tell it what you are prepared to risk and it gives you the unit you can support; tell it the unit you want and it gives you the bankroll that unit requires.

The short version

Work it out

190units needed
That is $4,750

How it works

It inverts the risk-of-ruin formula. For an acceptable ruin probability R:

B = −σ² · ln(R) ÷ (2e)

The relationship is worth noticing: halving your acceptable risk does not double the bankroll, it adds a fixed amount. Going from 10% to 5% ruin costs about the same number of units as going from 5% to 2.5%.

The reality check

Run it with a realistic edge. A counter at a table with 50% penetration is not making 1% — they are making a fraction of it, and the bankroll requirement rises accordingly.

Then run it backwards: take what you could genuinely afford to lose, divide by 400, and see what unit that implies. For most people the answer is a table, and finding one is most of the problem. That number is more useful than any of the theory above.

If the answer comes out uncomfortable, that is the calculator working. the line that matters.

Keep reading

Bankrollthe full explanation Risk of ruinthe other direction Kellythe precise version

By Martin Kosek · every number on this site is computed by us, not copied.

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