Blackjack or Baccarat?

Updated

This is the closest comparison in the casino. Baccarat’s banker bet keeps 1.06% and demands nothing of you. Blackjack keeps 0.46% but only if you play it correctly — and if you do not, baccarat is the better bet.

The short version
Every blackjack figure on this page is computed with our own solver and checked against an independent reference. The house edge calculator adds them up for one specific rule set, and the live calculator applies the same numbers at the table.

The comparison

The banker bet is the best in baccarat even after the 5% commission, and the tie bet at 14.4% is one of the worst bets on the casino floor. Our baccarat page works through where those figures come from.

Against blackjack the contest is genuinely close, and it turns entirely on whether you are willing to learn a chart.

Blackjack, chart 0.46% Baccarat, banker 1.06% Baccarat, player 1.24% Blackjack, no chart 3.49%
Baccarat is consistent. Blackjack is either better than baccarat or much worse, and you decide which.

Baccarat’s real advantage

There are no decisions. You bet banker, the drawing rules play themselves out, and no skill exists to be lacking. That means the 1.06% is the edge you actually face — not a best case you might fall short of.

In blackjack the published 0.46% is a best case. The average player faces something closer to 2%, which is worse than every baccarat bet except the tie. Baccarat is the better game for someone who will not study. That is not a criticism of anyone; it is just what the numbers say.

Can either be counted?

Blackjack, in principle. Baccarat, effectively no — the edge from counting is a tiny fraction of a percent and appears only near the very end of a shoe. We went through why.

So the ceiling is higher in blackjack, but the floor is much lower too. Baccarat has neither.

Keep reading

How to play baccaratrules and the third card Every game comparedthe full table Counting other gameswhere it works

By Martin Kosek · every number on this site is computed by us, not copied.

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